

Citi Research opened a 30-day positive catalyst watch on Anta Sports and Li Ning, citing Nike's plan to exit online distribution in China. "The key catalyst is the potential for Nike's market share in China to be captured by Anta and Li Ning," Citi analysts wrote in a note, adding the shift is expected to support positive market sentiment. Nike will terminate most of its online distribution business with Chinese retailers starting January 2027 and shift to a direct-to-consumer strategy, according to Topsports International Holdings Ltd.'s exchange filing and Nike's website. Citi reiterated buy ratings on Anta with a price target of HKD108.8 and on Li Ning with a target of HKD22.8. The broker ranked Anta as its top pick among Chinese sportswear stocks, followed by Li Ning and Topsports. The move could cost Nike between $500 million and $1 billion in sales, BNP Paribas analyst Laurent Vasilescu estimated, calling the strategy a "strategic misstep." Topsports, which generates 22 percent of its revenue from online Nike sales, saw its shares plunge 24 percent, wiping about HK$3 billion from its market capitalization. Pou Sheng International Holdings Ltd., another major Nike retail partner, fell 10 percent. Nike's Greater China sales declined 17 percent on a constant-currency basis in the fourth quarter, deepening from a 10 percent drop in the prior period, as domestic rivals Anta and Li Ning gained ground. The US sportswear giant plans to centralize digital sales through official storefronts on Tmall, JD.com and Douyin to rebuild consumer trust and reduce price competition, according to Cathy Sparks, Nike's vice president and general manager for Greater China. Citi included both Anta and Li Ning among its 10 preferred large-cap Chinese consumer stocks with attractive valuations. The broker maintained its buy ratings on both companies. The structural shift in China's sportswear distribution creates a clear opportunity for domestic brands to accelerate market share gains. Investors will watch Anta and Li Ning's upcoming quarterly results for evidence of accelerated revenue growth as Nike's online pullback takes effect in early 2027. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

**Gold's rally above $4,100 this week contradicts the macro forces that governed precious metals for most of the second quarter, raising the question of whether a structural regime shift is underway.** Gold climbed to $4,064.89 an ounce on July 21, up 1.5%, reclaiming the $4,100 level even as Brent crude traded above $92 a barrel, US 10-year Treasury yields rose to 4.63% and markets priced in a 71% probability of a Fed rate hike in September. "The fact that all of these bearish inputs are moving in the same direction while precious metals continue rallying suggests investors may be assigning less weight to interest-rate dynamics than they did only a few weeks ago," analysts at ActionForex wrote in a July 22 note. Silver joined the advance, climbing 4.8% to $59.11 an ounce, while platinum rose 1.9% to $1,624.88 and palladium added 2.3% to $1,281.75. The moves came as diplomatic efforts emerged — an Iranian official told Reuters that Tehran had received a proposal from mediators for a ten-day ceasefire between the United States and Iran — offering a potential path to de-escalation that could ease energy-driven inflation pressures. The divergence matters because higher oil prices had consistently weighed on precious metals since the US-Iran conflict erupted earlier this year, with gold falling from its $5,598.38 peak to a low of $3,942.23. If the current rally holds, it would signal that investors are shifting from viewing the oil shock as purely inflationary to pricing in stagflation risks — a reinterpretation that would have broad implications for commodity allocations, currency markets and central bank policy expectations. ## Silver Supply Deficit Adds to Bull Case Silver's rally has been reinforced by physical market fundamentals. Global mine production is expected to hold roughly steady this year while demand keeps rising, with the structural silver market deficit projected at 46.3 million ounces, according to industry data. Mexico, the world's largest silver producer, is directly exposed to the price swings, with the rally lifting earnings for miners such as Grupo Mexico and boosting production value in states like Chihuahua. Gold's break above $4,102.95 minor resistance suggests the decline from $4,202.87 likely completed at $3,959.42, just ahead of the $3,942.23 low. Further gains could target the 55-day exponential moving average around $4,262.15, with a decisive break above the 38.2% retracement of $4,889.24 to $3,942.23 at $4,303.98 providing stronger evidence of a lasting reversal. On the downside, a sustained break below $3,985 could expose $3,886, with a deeper correction toward $3,500 possible if the floor gives way. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

**Samsung Electronics is in advanced talks to invest hundreds of millions of euros in Mistral AI, a deal that would value the French startup at roughly €20 billion.** Samsung Electronics is in advanced talks to invest hundreds of millions of euros in Mistral AI, part of a fundraising round that would value the Paris-based startup at roughly €20 billion ($22.81 billion), the Financial Times reported Wednesday. "Europe should have access to the world's most capable AI without compromising control over their data, operations or digital future," Brad Smith, vice chair and president of Microsoft, said in a statement Tuesday announcing an expanded partnership with Mistral. The potential investment comes as Mistral's valuation has more than doubled from the roughly €10 billion it commanded when ASML led its Series C round last September. The startup has been on a fundraising tear, securing $830 million in debt earlier this year to build its own data center near Paris, and is reportedly seeking to raise around €3 billion in equity. For Samsung, the investment would mark a strategic bet on European AI at a time when the continent's flagship lab is deepening ties with Microsoft while trying to maintain independence. The South Korean conglomerate, the world's largest memory chipmaker, has been expanding its AI capabilities across semiconductors and devices, making Mistral's model technology a natural complement. Microsoft on Tuesday announced a multibillion-dollar expansion of its partnership with Mistral, committing to fund thousands of NVIDIA Vera Rubin chips for the startup's European compute base without taking a new equity stake. The arrangement gives Azure customers access to Mistral's French data centers and places Mistral's Medium 3.5 and OCR 4 models inside Microsoft Foundry and Copilot Studio. The structure of the Microsoft deal appears designed to avoid the antitrust scrutiny that followed their initial 2024 partnership, when the European Commission examined whether the US hyperscaler held "decisive influence" over the startup. By funding compute rather than taking ownership, Microsoft gains a credible European model to offer regulated customers wary of American-only AI stacks, while Mistral gets the capital and chips to keep pace in a race where compute has become the binding constraint. Mistral Chief Executive Arthur Mensch has positioned the company as Europe's answer to OpenAI and Anthropic, arguing that the continent should own and operate its own AI infrastructure. The startup is targeting one gigawatt of compute by 2030 under its Mistral Compute program, with an interim goal of up to 200 megawatts by 2027. Samsung's potential involvement adds a new dimension. The company is the dominant supplier of high-bandwidth memory chips used in AI training and inference, counting NVIDIA as its largest customer. An investment in Mistral would give Samsung direct exposure to the model layer of the AI stack, potentially creating a channel for its memory products in European data centers. The €20 billion valuation places Mistral among the most valuable private AI companies globally, trailing only OpenAI and Anthropic. The fundraising round, if completed, would provide the startup with additional runway to compete in a market where training costs for frontier models have climbed past $1 billion. The deal shows that corporate appetite for AI at premium valuations remains strong despite broader market uncertainty. Samsung shares trade at about 20 times forward earnings, and the investment — while small relative to the company's $300 billion market cap — would highlight its commitment to AI beyond hardware. Mistral's rapid valuation growth from €10 billion to €20 billion in under a year highlights the premium investors are placing on independent AI labs with proprietary model technology. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.